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'2007/05/29'에 해당되는 글 2건

  1. 2007/05/29 Heterodox Economics in the US
  2. 2007/05/29 Financial Times Report on US Subprime mortgage crisis

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Heterodox Economics in the US

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Hip Heterodoxy

Christopher Hayes

 

It's a Friday night in January, and I am searching for a free drink among 9,000 economists. Every year a sizable portion of the nation's economists descend on some lucky city for the Allied Social Science Associations Annual Meeting, the economics field's largest gathering, a kind of carnival of suits and supply curves.

Most academic disciplines have a similar annual convention, but no other can boast the same influence on American politics and policy--after all, Presidents don't appoint a council of anthropological advisers. It doesn't take long for mainstream academic thinking to become the foundation for the government's macroeconomic policy.

In 1968 Milton Friedman, then president of the American Economics Association (AEA), devoted his presidential address to arguing against Keynesian meddling in the economy and for a monetary policy focused on restraining inflation.

A decade later, his prescriptions would be largely adopted. In 2005 onetime Reagan adviser Martin Feldstein called for Social Security privatization just as Republicans in Washington were mobilizing (unsuccessfully) toward the same end.

For more reading, http://www.thenation.com/doc/20070611/hayes

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2007/05/29 12:05 2007/05/29 12:05

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Financial Times Report on US Subprime mortgage crisis

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US subprime crisis hits house sales

By Eoin Callan in Washington

Published: May 25 2007 18:02 | Last updated: May 25 2007 18:02

 

The crisis in the high-risk mortgage market made it harder for Americans to sell their homes last month, according to real estate agents.

 

Sales of existing homes fell to their lowest level in three years with a drop of 2.6 per cent in April, data from the National Association of Realtors indicated on Friday.

 

The association said home purchases were being held back because subprime lenders were applying tighter standards following the collapse of the high-risk mortgage market.

 

The Federal Reserve does not expect the crisis to have a lasting impact on the housing market, despite increasing signs of distress among high-risk borrowers and the collapse of leading subprime lenders.

Gary Bigg, an economist at Bank Of America, said: “Prospects for future home sales remain mixed as the problems in the subprime market and tighter credit standards are partially offset by improving housing affordability.”

 

Mr Bigg said he was expecting a gradual recovery in the market for existing homes following signs this week that sales by developers of new homes were picking up after an 18-month slump.

Alan Ruskin, an analyst at RBS, said: “The latest numbers do not themselves negate the perception of somewhat better transaction trends from the new home sales. I still think housing demand has put in a bottom.”

 

The fall in sales of existing homes last month was widespread across the country and dragged the annual rate of home sales to below 6m units, compared with expectations that purchases would hold steady at a rate of about 6.15m homes.

 

Mark Zandi, an economist at Moody’s, said the increase in inventory was “the most disconcerting” element of the figures.

 

The slowdown in purchases drove the excess supply of single-family homes on the market up to about eight months’ worth of sales from seven months’ supply in March. The supply of condominiums also climbed to 9.5 months’ worth of sales from 8.8 months.

 

Economists are awaiting figures that give a fuller picture of how the housing market has performed during the crucial spring selling season when most homes are bought.

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2007/05/29 04:31 2007/05/29 04:31

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