사이드바 영역으로 건너뛰기

네팔뉴스 #45

About two weeks ago I was invited to a meeting with leading CPN(M) activists, organized by a German-Turkish maoist group. The activists from Nepal wanted to inform about the current situation in their country and the organizers wanted to publicise the "next steps on the way of the revolution in Nepal". But finally the entire meeting was only disappointing, extreme unsatisfactorily. The activists from CPN(M) in their "lecture" had nothing to say, except some complete empty political statements, what you can read in every old-school maoist propaganda paper. In direct discussions, for example asked about the recent trouble (partly violent clashes) between CPN(M) and the Nepalese trade union GEFONT(for more about it please check out Major Trade Unions Condemn Maoist Attack), the activists from Nepal had nothing to say, even they didn't know about the fact (that's what they said..).

The entire meeting reminded me on similar meetings 20 years ago with activists from Latin American or Palestinian "communist" organizations, or representatives of countries of the former so-called "Real Existing Socialism"... or like my experiences with cadres of the North Korean KWP.

Ha, and just few days after this meeting with the CPN(M) activists I had to find out the interview with Prachanda, the chairman of CPN(M), in Daily Telegraph(I already uploaded the article here: http://blog.jinbo.net/CINA/?pid=979)

 

Now, only few days ago (11.11) the Chinese/HK magazine Asia Times published following analyzing(?) article:

 

Nepal's experiment with Maoism


The deal reached on Wednesday in Nepal is being described as historic. Prime Minister Girija Prasad Koirala, who has been leading a coalition government since May, told the Nepali people that the latest set of political decisions was an achievement for all.
 

"It is not a defeat of anyone. Neither is it a victory of a particular political party," was how Koirala offered his first explanation on the deal that was struck between the Seven Party Alliance he heads and the Maoists, who have agreed to end a decade-old armed insurgency that claimed more than 13,000 lives.
 

Both Koirala and Maoist leader Pushpa Kamal Dahal (aka Prachanda) said Nepal was about to enter a new era. Men and women closely working with them during the weeks and months of arduous negotiations, too, consider that the outcome did constitute a step, if not a leap, forward.
 

The international community closely watching developments in Nepal also appeared convinced that the peace process was gaining momentum and that it should be maintained.
 

While Koirala's explanation that the agreement was not a victory of a particular political party tried to allay fears of his partner parties and some others outside the coalition, it could not dissuade the Maoist leadership from organizing victory rallies across the country.
 

Maoists chose a five-star hotel to call a press conference where Prachanda claimed that what was happening in Nepal would be "the first great world experiment of 21st century". His expressions there reflected the Maoists' perception that it was their party, the Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist), that harvested most of the gains to be made from the deal.
 

Prachanda and his comrades-in-arms had reasons to be exhilarated. The foremost among them is the fact that their party carried weight that is equivalent to that of the seven parties combined. They accomplished this unparalleled position primarily because of the insurgency they think they successfully conducted in the period beginning in 1996. But some of their rivals claimed that the deal proved that the Maoists were rapidly becoming a spent force.
 

Prachanda's success in Nepal must be a bittersweet piece of news to Peru's revolutionary leader, Abimael Guzman, who is languishing in a Lima jail for his role in the Shining Path movement that cost nearly 70,000 lives. The Nepali Maoist leadership has admitted in the past that it drew inspiration from "Comrade Gonzalo's" movement. In 1993, dozens of Nepali legislators responded to a signature campaign for Gonzalo's release launched by some left-wing politicians who later rose to be senior Maoist leaders.
 

The other notable achievements Maoists have made include a provision for their sizable presence in a 330-strong interim parliament, to be set up by November 26. Maoists are to get 73 seats, which is equal to the number being allocated to the second-largest party in the present ruling alliance.
 

The other gain Maoists have made is in the form of a government undertaking to reciprocate the rebel offer to separate combatants from weapons and place them under United Nations supervision. According to agreement, the Nepalese army has to demobilize an equal number of its soldiers until elections to a constitutional assembly are held by next June.
 

In normal circumstances, the state army would have objected to such an arrangement, but this is not likely to happen now in the context of a new military law that has removed traditional linkages with, and loyalty to, King Gyanendra. Besides, the November 8 deal specifically stipulates that the army has to follow strictly the orders issued by the cabinet. This cabinet, expected to be formed by December 1, will include representatives from the Maoist party as well.
 

In exchange of these gains, Maoists have agreed to renounce violence. Their combatants, members of the "People's Liberation Army", are to be kept in seven cantonments in different parts of the country. The PLA claims it has about 35,000 combatants. UN representative Ian Martin said these camps need to be set up in "accessible areas" to make monitoring effective.
 

Maoists have pledged to engage themselves in competitive politics and seek state power through elections. Prachanda has publicly promised to take his "democratic" agenda to the voters during the campaign for elections to the constitutional assembly.
 

Prachanda's deputy, Baburam Bhattarai, conceded in a seminar a few weeks ago that Maoists have realized that contemporary trends and events in and around Nepal would not permit them to grab power through the insurgency they were leading. In other words, the latest Maoist commitments are real. They don't want to return to their hideouts in the jungles.
 

Nevertheless, the level of trust among the parties involved is less than adequate to implement decisions, which could have far-reaching consequences. While the Maoist leadership fears sabotage from conservative and reactionary elements, the alliance leaders are skeptical about the sincerity and honesty on the part of Maoists.
 

When Prime Minister Koirala stood before the incumbent parliament on Thursday to explain the importance of landmark deal, he made an appeal to the Maoists to abide by the agreement "in letters and spirit". He said he wanted them to change their conduct and behavior. Koirala, who faced considerable international pressure during negotiations with the rebels, was addressing the concerns of Nepal's friends and well-wishers abroad.
 

It was reflected, for instance, in the statement the British government issued through Foreign and Commonwealth Minister Kim Howells with respect to the rule of law, "without which any peace agreement will be inherently fragile". In other words, the Maoist leadership must work to ensure the end of the phase of anarchy through extortion, abductions, and beating and killing innocent people.
 

Prachanda canceled a public meeting scheduled for Friday in the wake of widespread complaints from the residents of Kathmandu Valley that they were forced to agree to feed and provide accommodation to thousands of people who were brought into the valley to attend the meeting to be addressed by the top Maoist leader.
 

"The main responsibility now is on the rebel leadership, to rope in the cadres and convert the rebellion into a political party," said Kanak Dixit, editor of Himal publications.
 

But will the Maoist leadership take such a suggestion seriously? Doubts and suspicions persist. Some of the doubts emanate from the style in which the Maoists continue to conduct their activities, and others are associated with the substantive issues at hand. Those who care to read messages from the Maoist work style allude to the press conference that Prachanda addressed after signing the agreement.
 

The wall behind the stage set the for the show was cluttered with banners that either depicted hammer-and-sickle signs or eulogized Marxism, Leninism, Maoism and Prachandaism. In addition to this, all top Maoist leaders had red tikka (a mark of vermilion powder ) on their forehead. Had they been practicing Hindus it would not have seemed unusual. But that was not the case.
 

Prachanda and his colleagues did not celebrate Dashain, the country's largest festival, last month, saying it did not have "a scientific basis". Why did they then put on tikka marks if they did not want to convey a message that they were not abandoning the revolutionary path despite agreements to end the insurgency? Or were they just trying to take undue advantage of the widespread illiteracy that keeps a large number of people credulous? A deceptive, contradictory look can create considerable confusion.
 

Apprehensions that Maoists might use the latest peace deal to advance their agenda in a subtle manner are based on the failed deals of the past. Each of the agreements reached since August 2001 has been made redundant by Maoists. There is, therefore, no guarantee that the rebel leadership will not use this latest opportunity only as tactical move.
 

Knowledgeable sources on security matters claim that top Maoist leaders have told members of their "core group" that what they were doing was in essence a change of strategy alone. It is in this context that three top Maoist leaders have publicly said they would not join the interim government being formed shortly. Instead, they will look for an alternative to be able to form their "own" government that will allow them to implement their progressive and revolutionary agenda.
 

"Indeed the agenda for social-economic transformation has been pushed aside, giving priority only to the political transition," said Devraj Dahal, a political analyst closely watching the recent developments. Issues and positions relating to economic principles and foreign-policy matters remain unclear. The sole aim appears to get to power.
 

Concerns and speculation are not confined to political and economic issues. Analysts studying security aspects of the November 8 agreement are concerned about decisions made on the existing national army, the proposition to absorb Maoist recruits and its possible implications.
 

The pledge to grant citizenship to several million people by making mid-April 1990 the cutoff date is equally worrying. Nepal's porous border with India, where movement of people remains unregulated, make it vulnerable. And the citizenship pledge runs counter to the provisions made even in the controversial 1950 treaty of peace and friendship with India. Provisions of the treaty permit nationals of either country to reside in each other's territories and engage in trade and commerce. It implies that there are Nepali nationals in India and Indian nationals in Nepal. So without an offer of reciprocity, how can Nepal be asked to grant citizenship to Indian nationals who may number in millions?
 

These inconsistent positions and provisions tend to give credence to a perception that Johan Galtung, a Norwegian professor known worldwide, shared with the Kathmandu Post newspaper on November 6: "Your prime minister is not accountable to parliament and the government. He is accountable to Delhi and the United States. It is very unfortunate." Galtung, a frequent visitor, would not have used these stinging words if he had not understood the unfolding scenario here in Nepal.

 

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/South_Asia/HK11Df01.html

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

진보블로그 공감 버튼트위터로 리트윗하기페이스북에 공유하기딜리셔스에 북마크

  • 제목
    CINA
  • 이미지
    블로그 이미지
  • 설명
    자본주의 박살내자!
  • 소유자
    no chr.!

저자 목록

달력

«   2024/04   »
  1 2 3 4 5 6
7 8 9 10 11 12 13
14 15 16 17 18 19 20
21 22 23 24 25 26 27
28 29 30        

기간별 글 묶음

찾아보기

태그 구름

방문객 통계

  • 전체
    1896710
  • 오늘
    614
  • 어제
    1586