본문
The Maghreb, What Movements For Which Perspectives?
The deepening of the world economic crisis, since 2008, has caused a significant degradation of living and working conditions in the “poor” countries and frontal attacks through austerity plans, the increase in unemployment, and the revocation of many [long standing] “social gains” in the “rich” countries.
Class reactions have multiplied throughout the world, there are strikes, riots with violent confrontations with the forces of repression, demonstrations…
What is significant in the current movements is the mobilization of youth. Greek youth have been the cutting edge of contestation since 2008 but in their wake, French and English students and, now, Tunisian, Algerian and Egyptian are the motivating force of the movements. But these young people, in Tunisia, in Egypt seem to have forged a link to other demands. They have been set in motion
The movements unfolding in the Maghreb must be situated in this context of a major aggravation of the world economic crisis and its repercussions on the proletariat, working or unemployed. They express a revolt against the price increase, but also, and this is fundamental, against the complete absence of any perspective represented by the capitalist system. This absence of any perspective manifests itself more and more strongly and affects the whole planet.
These movement are important in other ways too: they constitute an experiment in collective struggle, in the capacity to oppose, the capacity to say “No”, to reject the established order. These experiences, combined with the questioning about [the lack of any perspective, will not fail to have an important impact on the future development of the political consciousness of the proletariat.
The risk exists that the current demands in Tunisia and Egypt will be swallowed up by the illusion that a change of President or of the government will give work to the young people, will fill the shopping baskets of the housewife, and will allow freedom of expression and of organization.
Remember that the transformation of Latin America dictatorships and the so-called “communist” regimes into more modern, “democratic,” political systems, corresponded to a change into regimes better adapted to the present needs of the accumulation of capital, and the need for a democratic control of the working class. But, if these political adaptations allowed a better exploitation of natural resources and some industrial development, they only very partially masked the overturning of existing health care, housing, educational, systems, and the creation of an even wider gap between a newly enriched class and an increasing mass of the poor consigned to unemployment, to poverty, to drugs, and to the violence of the shantytowns and the street.
Thus, the movements of revolt agitating Tunisia and Egypt express at the same time the refusal of the poverty generated by the capitalist mode of production, the search for new perspectives, but also the hopes invested in a change [in the mode] of political management. They reflect the difficulty, for the world proletariat, to envision a new society and thus to break with the economic, social, and political functioning of capitalism.
It is now clear that life in this system, under whatever form it takes, can only produce more poverty, wars, destruction of the environment, and, at the end of the day, a major degradation in the conditions of existence of human beings.
Only putting into question the very bases of this society on a world scale can open up a revolutionary perspective for the creation of a society offering radically different perspectives.
Internationalist Perspective
On Egypt (1)
IP is publishing articles and comments on the events in Egypt. This piece originally appeared on the Internationalist Discussion List.
——————————–
Greetings all
I assume most people on this list have been following the recent events in Egypt with interest. There are many sites on the internet which provide detailed factual accounts of what has transpired there since January 25. I have wondered, however, about the question of how (pro-)revolutionaries are analyzing the developing situation there, and what they/we would have to say to the working class in Egypt were they/we there. There are some who are saying that this is all just bourgeois politics, a movement to change the government/regime, to find a less corrupt one, maybe, at most, to bring about a representative democratic system of government with associated legal civil rights, on the model of the sorts of movements that took place around Eastern Europe 20 years ago following the collapse of the ‘Iron Curtain’. I am assuming that many here don’t share that perspective, and see that there is more going in Egypt than that.
The movement seems to be focused so far on one key demand: Mubarak (and his National Democratic Party regime) out! All of the hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of Egyptians involved in this movement agree on this. These people are convinced that Mubarak and his regime are responsible for their plight. There is a common feeling that this plight is unacceptable, and they are demanding “No more!” When a regime is as totalitarian as Mubarak’s has been, it becomes the obvious focus for all who are dissatisfied with their situation, their socio-economic conditions. It becomes attractive to believe that if only the dictator and his regime were gone, things would be so much better. Of course, many people know better, since the world has seen many such dictators thrown out, only to give way to either another equally “bad” dictator/regime, or perhaps a slightly “less bad” regime, but general socio-economic conditions remaining the same as before or even worsening, specifically for the working class, depending on the overall state of the economic crisis.
The willingness and determination of masses of people (and I am assuming that at least a large minority of these people are working class) to stand up to a dictatorial regime and say “Enough! Get out!” surely must be inspiring for (pro-)revolutionaries everywhere. And the fact that they have accomplished this and held their ground for as long as they have, determined to continue until Mubarak is gone, is already a kind of victory, in that it is a major step forward from passive acquiescence. But of course, we know that for the working class to fight for their interests they need to go much further than just getting rid of Mubarak and his regime. So the question is: what else to do?
It would seem that there is a fledgling ‘independent trade union federation’ which has arisen from the various strikes and workers’ struggles since 2007 in Egypt (e.g. in Mahalla), and it has issued a call-out for a ‘general strike’ as part of this movement. Since it is new and thus far not recognized and legalized by the government, it may offer workers more room for autonomous activity than typically established trade unions do.
“Today [Jan. 30], representatives of the of the Egyptian labor movement, made up of the independent Egyptian trade unions of workers in real estate tax collection, the retirees, the technical health professionals and representatives of the important industrial areas in Egypt: Helwan, Mahalla al-Kubra, the tenth of Ramadan city, Sadat City and workers from the various industrial and economic sectors such as: garment & textiles, metals industry, pharmaceuticals, chemical industry, government employees, iron and steel, automotive, etc… And they agreed to hold a press conference at 3:30pm this afternoon in Tahrir Square next to Omar Effendi Company store in downtown Cairo to announce the organization of the new Federation of Egyptian Trade Unions and to announce the formation of committees in all factories and enterprises to protect, defend them and to set a date for a general strike.”
As far as I can tell, a date has not yet been set for the proposed general strike
On the other hand, this federation has apparently already gained the support of the AFL-CIO and the ITUC, so perhaps there will be no more room within it for autonomous workers’ activity than within established legally recognized unions.
The following brief sketch of the situation in Egypt was written on January 31, before the attacks by the “pro-Mubarak” thugs, who seem mostly to be non-uniformed police. I am assuming that people here are reasonably well informed of the “main” events since then.
People should feel free to discuss not just the question of what to do, but also to offer analyses of the balance of forces involved in the situation in Egypt now, both class forces and those of various factions within the Egyptian ruling class, especially within the military, dominant as it is.
This text offers some analysis of the different factions within the Egyptian ruling class, including within the military.
***************O***************
Now (or recently) in Egypt we have a situation of an uprising initiated by some young (well-educated) unemployed workers which has spread into a general cross-section of the population (i.e. all classes and strata except the ruling class), the principal basic demand of which is the ouster of Mubarak and his regime. The buildings of Mubarak’s NDP party have been torched in various cities. The police initially confronted the uprising, in some cases with lethal violence, and in others with less than lethal force. After 4-5 (?) days, many police forces were defeated or else withdrew on command from their various stations and sites. The army came into the key public areas prior to the defeat/withdrawal of the police. Prisoners (thousands, perhaps many such) were either released or not prevented from ‘escaping’. It has been widely reported (via blogs) that quite a lot of looting, especially of people’s homes, has been occuring and that many of those involved have been police/ex-police, (ex-) prisoners, and other criminals/gangsters. In various neighbouhoods (wealthy, ‘middle class’, and working class), the residents have organized themselves into what some have called “neighbourhood watch” committees.
Mubarak has sacked his cabinet and appointed a new VP and PM. The uprising has overwhelmingly rejected this ‘olive branch’ as unacceptable and is increasingly strongly demanding that Mubarak step down immediately. The army seems to be the key factor in this situation, the dominant player; and so far it has shown itself as prepared to act if (it decides it is) ‘necessary’, but thus far refusing to take sides. Some of the insurgents have taken the army’s refusal to (thus far) intervene with force as implicit support for the uprising and its demands.
So, in this situation, if we, as organized communists were to find ourselves there, what would we be saying ‘should be done’? It seems to me that the uprising has created an opening, a space, perhaps even a ‘vacuum’, as a result of the absence of the police. The police in some form or other — there were some reports of widespread ‘desertion’ by police to the side of the insurgents — will return, but likely not with the same authority they had before their defeat. By themselves they won’t be able to command the same degree of fear and intimidation as they could prior to the start of the uprising.
As I said, residents in various neighbourhoods have organized themselves for the purposes of defense and security of their residential property. Even if the army retains its position of holding supreme power in Egypt, it seems that the power of the state there has temporarily receded and that there is now or will be (soon?) space for workers to begin organizing themselves, both within their workplaces and within their residential neighbourhoods. Thus, I wonder if communists there should at this time be calling for workers — and all of the working class, including the unemployed, students, youth, retireds, ‘housewives’ — to organize themselves wherever they are, at work, where they live, in their schools and universities and colleges, in the ‘community’: organize into autonomous assemblies to discuss and decide what needs to be done, and which direction to move the uprising into.
Of course, I realize that this way of putting things is somewhat problematic, since if we were there, we would know a lot more specifics about the situation than we do not being there, we would be placed in concrete context, while the way I have posed it here is rather abstracted from that context. Perhaps there is already such organization going on. Perhaps other kinds of organizing has happened. Still, while we don’t know about any of that, we can at least consider what we think the best course of activity for organized communists there to be based on what we do know.
On Egypt (2)
Yes, communists should “be calling for workers — and all of the working class, including the unemployed, students, youth, retireds, ‘housewives’ — to organize themselves wherever they are, at work, where they live, in their schools and universities and colleges, in the ‘community’: organize into autonomous assemblies to discuss and decide what needs to be done, and which direction to move the uprising into” – but what direction should they point to? Self-organization doesn’t occur for the sake of itself but to obtain a goal. Right now, the overriding goal is the removal of Mubarak. Hated as he may be by the workers of Egypt, this is no specific working class demand, so this goal does not require from the workers that they organize themselves autonomously. There may be some autonomous organisation going on, like for the defense of working class neighborhoods and the apprioriation of use values but we have almost no information on that. If somebody does, please let us know where we can find it.
I think what communists should say in Egypt and elsewhere is that, despite its symbolic importance, the departure of Mubarak will solve nothing for the working class, that the horrible conditions that pushed them to this fight will continue to worsen, that the fight against them must continue and deepen.
The inhumane conditions of the working class (in the wide sense we must give to this term), aggravated by the crisis, were clearly the starting point of the uprising in Tunesia and the riots in neighboring Algeria. They had a clear working class content. This struggle to survive was subdued (for now) after the army ousted the hated dictator and allowed some democratic reforms. But that was not a victory for the working class. Certainly, the new regime will be careful in its dealings with the working population and that will allow the latter some more breathing room, but the conditions which sparked the revolt, the poverty, unemployment and corruption will not improve, quite the contrary. The real victory in Tunesia was the overcoming of fear, the experience of collective struggle which will not be forgotten.
The struggle in Egypt was different in that it, from the very beginning, not only expressed the refusal of the working class to accept its conditions but also a desire of a large part of the capitalist class in Egypt for regime-change. Theirs is a struggle over how to manage the country, in other words, how to manage the exploitation. A decisive part of Egypt’s capitalist class wants a more modern, more flexible management and is using the revolt of the working class to make itself indispensable for the restauration of order, and is opportunistically supported by the Islamo-fascists who have their own power dreams. With the support of the media they try to reduce the events to just that, a question of personnel change. They make of the departure of Mubarak the fetish of the movement: once accomplished, everything will become magically ok and we’ll all go back home, back to the factories and offices, then the cleanup crews will come and everything will be normal again.
Most likely they will win and Mubarak will have to go. It’s clear that his continuation at the helm is against the interests of the capitalist class in Egypt and elsewhere. That he hasn’t gone already can only be because the army, the backbone of the state, hasn’t told him yet. Why not? One possible explanation is that it might not want the movement to end on a note of triumph and self-confidence. If the real victory for the working class in Tunis and Cairo is the experience of having overcome fear and isolation in confronting the state, the deciders have maybe decided to weaken that memory with new fear and dispersment. Maybe that is why they let the thugs attack the demonstrators. Maybe they want to see the protests weaken first before they save the day by ousting Mubarak, for the sake of future discipline.
I admit that this is speculative. All this is complicated by the fact that the removal of a dictator with such an extensive network of patronage is no easy matter. But it has been done before and it will happen in Egypt too and this will most likely end the revolt for now.
This will not be a surprise. What we’re seeing in Egypt is not a revolution, but the appearance of cracks in the solid capitalist façade, cracks that are being glued with democracy but that will nevertheless widen and multiply, as capitalism’s crisis deepens. The reason why the fetishization of the departure of Mubarak is so successful is not just the weight of ideology on the working class. There is not a crystal clear working class consciousness beneath that weight. If the working class would be convinced of its own power and its goal, it would not look for support outside of it, to the army, to Islam, to democracy. It looks to them because it feels weak, atomized. Certainly, the revolts in the Maghreb-countries, in which proletarians massively overcame their fear of confronting capital ans its state, and overcame their feeling of impotence in collective struggle, are an important, even historic step in a revolutionary direction. But communists have to be clear that the democratic adjustments to the management of capital in these countries are no more than a reshuffling of the furniture on the Titanic. The new leaders are our enemies just as much as the old ones, the struggle against exploitation continues.
Sander
댓글 목록
블루문
관리 메뉴
본문
이집트에서 벌어지고 있는 반란을 관심있게 지켜봤던 사람입니다. 이 글을 읽으면서 몇년전 이란에서 벌어진 반정부시위가 떠올라 만감이 교차했습니다. 이란과 이집트, 둘 다 그 지역의 맹주들이고 시위대 다수가 학생들을 포함한 젊은 세대이고 뚜렷한 지도부 없이 트위터 등을 이용해 결집한 다중들이고 마땅한 대안세력이 없다는 점 등이 유사하지만 이란의 아마디네자드는 반미, 이집트의 무바라크는 친미라는 점만 다르죠. 그런데 당시 이란 시위대는 중산층 기반에 친미, 친서구성향이라는 평가가 많았습니다. 이란도 심각한 경제위기에다 대학생들이 졸업을 해도 하루 10달러도 못버는 택시기사같은 일 외에는 할게 별로 없어 우리나라와 같은 외국으로 빠져나가는 사람들이 많은데도요. 그만큼 젊은이들이 지치고 미래가 없기 때문에 정권교체를 간절히 바랬을테고요.그런데 사실 이번 이집트 항쟁도 해외 자파언론에서는 중산층이 주도한 시위고 여기에 하층민까지 가세하면 불길이 더욱 크게 번질것이라는 전망을 내놓고 있습니다. 사실 중산층이란 애매한 집단인데 소득수준으로 상류층과 하류층 중간이라는 것, 그 사회를 유지하지만 붕괴시킬 수도 있는 파워를 가진 집단이라는 것 외에는 더 이상 말해주는 것이 없습니다. 그래서 이 글도 그렇지만 늘 해외에서 대규모의 반정부시위가 일어났을 때 중산층 기반의 운동이라고 해서 폄하한다거나 노동계급 기반의 운동이라고 해서 급진적일 것이라고 기대하는 것은 적절치 않다고 봅니다. 중산층 vs 노동계급의 도식도 현실과 부합하지 않는것 같고, 사회마다 중산층에 노동계급이 많을 수도 있고 노동계급이 중산층 성향일 수도 있고, 중산층은 체제유지를 바라는 세력이고 노동계급은 체제변화를 원하거나 주도할 수 있는 세력이라고 단정지을 수도 없기 때문입니다. 무엇보다 제가 궁금한 것은 지도부가 없는 불특정 다수의 사람들이 어떤 계급에 속하는지 조사를 한 것인지 아니면 몇가지 정황에 기대어 추측을 한것인지 그다지 신뢰가 가지 않기 때문입니다.
이 글이 그렇다는 것은 아니지만 보통 해외에서 일어난 급변상황에 대해서는 좀더 심층분석이 필요한게 아닌가 하는 우려에서입니다. 실제로 이란에서 있었던 반정부 시위에는 노동계급이 아무런 액션을 취하지 않았다, 하지만 노동계급이 반정부시위대에 동조하지 않았다고 해서 반정부시위대의 요구가 비현실적이고 반동적인 것은 아니죠, 그런데 이집트에서는 총파업의 움직임이 보인다, 이거 외에는 중산층 vs 노동계급에 기반한 항쟁이라고 볼 수 있는 근거는 저로서는 딱히 보이질 않네요.
자유로운 영혼
관리 메뉴
본문
이글은 수많은 외국좌파의 문건중 단지 짧고 간결한 호소문에 가까운 글입니다.말씀하신대로 이번 프롤레타리아 투쟁에 대한 객관적인 분석들을 담아내는것이 아니라, 그것의 전제하에 국제연대의 메시지를 전하려했던 것이지요. 제국주의문제, 계급투쟁의 주체, 지도부문제는 명확한 관점을 가진 상세한 글들이 많이 나와있고 지금도 생산중에 있으나, 번역능력과 시간이 좀 부족하네요.
시간나는대로 정리하여 올리도록하지요.
중산층이야기는 부르주아민주주의 한계(환상)와 연관되어있기 때문에 강조를 한것이고, 실업자, 학생들을 프롤레타리아계급 진영으로 판단한다는것에 강조점이 있다고 생각합니다.
블루문
관리 메뉴
본문
알겠습니다. 다른 글들을 더 기대해보도록 하죠. 그런데 부르주아 민주주의의 한계 혹은 환상에 대해서도 저는 님과 약간의 견해차가 있는 것 같아 말씀드리겠습니다. 민주주의라는 것을 인민의 의지가 관철되는 것이라고 정의한다면 민주주의가 제대로 이루어지고 있는 국가는 없다고 보는 것이 좋겠지만 적어도 의회민주주의 혹은 정당체제를 민주주의 정도로 축소하자면 우리 역시 그것의 한계를 뼈저리게 실감하면서도 또 한편에서는 그것마저 아직도 서구에 비해 성취하지 못한 것이 아닌가라고 해도 과언이 아닙니다. 그런데 지금의 이집트 상황을 보면 마치 우리의 박정희 시대가 생각이 나는데, 아무리 일본에서 자민당이 장기집권을 했다해도 서구에서 30년 독재란 생각하기 어렵죠, 중동에서 친미 독재정권을 무너뜨리는 것은 대단히 의미있는 일입니다. 우리도 박정희 때는 박정희가 퇴진을 원했던 사람들이 학생, 지식인을 비롯한 당시로서는 중산층이 더 많았겠죠. 독일, 프랑스와 같은 선진 자본주의 국가의 중산층과 제3세계의 중산층은 엄연히 다른 것이며 그들의 요구가 매우 소박하고 우리가 보기에는 투쟁 다음이 걱정될 정도로 갑갑한 것이 엄연한 사실이지만 우리는 커녕 미국 민중들도 엄두를 못내고 있는 부르주아 민주주의의 한계나 환상에 대해 얘기하는 것은 시기상조라고 봅니다. 지금 이집트 투쟁도 2008년부터 산발적으로 계속되어 왔던 것이 이번에 터진 것으로 보여지는데 실제로 이란 투쟁 당시 이집트 활동가들이 이란에서 젊은이들의 움직임에 대해 상당히 고무되었고 자신감을 얻었으며 아마 투쟁전술 또한 많이 배웠던 것으로 생각합니다. 그래서 저는 지나친 낙관주의는 좋은 것이 아니지만 우리의 관점으로 혹은 지나치게 계급적 관점으로 우리와는 다른 상화에 처해있는 사람들의 투쟁을 예단하는 것 역시 바람직하지 않다고 생각하기에 드리는 말씀입니다. 다음 글 기대하겠습니다. 저도 여건이 되면..